Kishan et al. reported on 487 patients with biopsy Gleason scores of 9 or 10 who were consecutively treated between 2000 and 2013 at the University of California Los Angeles and Fox Chase Cancer Center. The patient characteristics were as follows:
- 170 were treated with radical prostatectomy (RP).
- 230 were treated with EBRT only.
- 87 were treated with EBRT + BT, and most of the BT was high dose rate.
- All patients were Gleason 9 or 10 on biopsy.
- RP patients were younger (median 62 years of age) compared to all radiation patients (median 70 years of age).
- RP patients had more favorable disease characteristics: lower initial PSA, and lower clinical stage.
The patient characteristics by treatment category are listed below.
For the RP patients:
- 11% had pre-surgery ADT or chemotherapy.
- 55% had adjuvant or salvage radiation therapy (68 Gy).
- 39% of them had adjuvant ADT with radiation for a median of 22 months if adjuvant radiation, 12 months if salvage radiation.
- 85% with biochemical recurrence and no detected distant metastases had salvage radiation.
- 21% had a lower Gleason score (7 or 8) on final pathology, but 91 percent had any Gleason pattern 5 on final pathology.
- 78% were stage T3 or T4 on final pathology (vs. 12 percent clinically).
- 41% had positive surgical margins.
- 16% had positive lymph nodes
- Among those, 64% received no immediate treatment because of patient preference.
For the EBRT patients:
- Median dose of radiation was 76.4 Gy.
- 94% had ADT starting before EBRT.
- The median duration of ADT was 24 months.
- 76% had pelvic lymph nodes treated.
- 2 patients received salvage cryotherapy.
For the EBRT + BT patients:
- The median equivalent dose of radiation was 88.7 Gy
- 86% had ADT starting before radiation.
- The median duration of ADT was 8 months.
- 78% had pelvic lymph nodes treated.
- 1 patient received salvage cryotherapy.
After a median follow-up of 4.6 years, the oncological outcomes were as follows:
- The 10-year biochemical recurrence rates (BCRs) were
- 84% for RP
- 40% for EBRT
- 30% for EBRT + BT
- Differences between RP and EBRT and between RP and EBRT + BT were statistically significant.
- Percentages of patients who began lifelong ADT after therapy failure were
- 31% for RP
- 21% for EBRT
- 16% for EBRT + BT
- Differences between RP and EBRT and between RP and EBRT + BT were statistically significant.
- The 10-year rates of distant metastases were
- 39% for RP
- 33% for EBRT
- 10% for EBRT + BT
- Differences between EBRT + BT and the two others were statistically significant, while the differences between RP and EBRT were not.
- The 10-year rates of prostate cancer-specific mortality were
- 22% for RP
- 20% for EBRT
- 12% for EBRT + BT
- None of the differences were statistically significant.
- The 10-year rates of overall survival were
- 75% for RP (they were younger and healthier)
- 65% for EBRT
- 59% for EBRT + BT
- None of the differences were statistically significant.
The authors conclude:
These data suggest that extremely dose-escalated radiotherapy with ADT might be the optimal upfront treatment for patients with biopsy GS 9–10 prostate cancer.
It will come as no surprise to readers that EBRT + BT boost has better outcomes than EBRT alone (see this link and this one). Dose escalation has been found to improve outcomes, and the use of ADT to radiosensitize the cancer, and to systemically clear up micrometastasis, seems to improve outcomes still further. However, ADT for as long as 2 years could not compensate for the lower radiation dose of EBRT used by itself. Longer duration of ADT was not associated with improved outcomes after accounting for the dose effect.
Those who were treated with EBRT + BT were at a considerable disadvantage in this study: they were older, had worse disease characteristics, and were given less local salvage, yet they performed much better. When controlling for those disparities, the total radiation dose emerged as the single most important variable, affecting biochemical recurrence, metastases-free survival, and prostate cancer-specific survival. No other variable – neither duration of ADT nor adjuvant/salvage radiation – was statistically significant.
Prostate cancer-specific mortality rates were cut in half by combining EBRT with a BT boost. While the combination therapy did not make a statistically significant difference in prostate cancer-specific survival, the study was probably under-powered to detect that with statistical significance. The survival curves between EBRT + BT and the other two therapies did consistently diverge throughout the follow-up period, so the difference might well be statistically significant on a larger sample size or longer follow-up.
Not everyone in this study received optimal therapy. The EBRT-only dose was sometimes low by today’s standards, salvage radiation was under-utilized, use of concurrent ADT with adjuvant/salvage radiation was low (see this link) and of too-short duration. However, most were treated according to the standards of care. The authors looked at the subset of patients who were treated optimally and found no difference in conclusions. The conclusions were robust even excluding those who were lymph-node positive.
What is new here is the comparison of the three potentially curative treatments for very high-risk prostate cancer in the 21st Century. There have been several long-term database analyses that compared surgery to radiation therapy as offered in the 1990s, when radiation doses were often inadequate to achieve cures. We recently saw a comparative benefit to radiation over surgery in the modern era among high-risk patients at the University of Alabama Birmingham (see this link). Ideally, we would like to see a randomized comparative trial between surgery and radiation, but that is unlikely to occur. Meanwhile, this kind of analysis is about the best we have to inform our treatment decisions.
We understand that a future, expanded analysis will include data from other institutions, including Harvard, the Cleveland Clinic, and Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center. That analysis will also include toxicity data. We will certainly report on that when it is published.
note: Thanks to Drs. King and Kishan for allowing me to see the full text of this analysis, and responding to questions.